Thursday, February 19, 2009

Preview: Auto Club 500

The Auto Club 500 at California is usually one of my lesser favorite races. It should be fairly uneventful, but you never know, one of the best assets of NASCAR. Here are my predictions for this weekend's race.
  1. 48 - Jimmie Johnson (Chevrolet) - He's always been strong here and it's the defending Champ's home track.
  2. 18 - Kyle Busch (Toyota) - Kyle did great here last year. If he's going to have another year like last year, look for him to run up front Sunday.
  3. 24 - Jeff Gordon (C) - Another home-stater; historically the 24 team is a contender here. Gordon could easily snap his winless streak at this 2-mile oval.
  4. 17 - Matt Kenseth (Ford) - Momentum from the Daytona 500 win and a historical skew for Roush and Ford make Kenseth a strong choice.
  5. 99 - Carl Edwards (F) - Again, Roush, Ford California, and he's the defending race winner.
  6. 26 - Jamie McMurray (F) - Rouh-Fenway. Ford. Reunited with Wingo and he had a great race at Daytona if not for Dale Jr.
  7. 29 - Kevin Harvick (C) - Harvick is also a California native. Historically he averages a 17.9 finishing position, but RCR has really stepped up lately.
  8. 6 - David Ragan (F) - Roush. Ford. Plus, Ragan has really improved, in 4 starts Ragan has an average finish of 13.8.
  9. 14 - Tony Stewart (C) - Stewart is strong and back in a Chevrolet, if Goodyear doesn't ruin his chances he should be contending for a win.
  10. 33 - Clint Bowyer (C) - Bowyer has an average finish of 12, but with new crew chief Shane Wilson a win is possible. The 33 Cheerios/Hamburger-Helper Chevy should be a strong top-15 car at least.
Dark Horses
  • 16 - Greg Biffle - Roush, but I just have a hunch he may not be as strong as the last two years.
  • 39 - Ryan Newman - This guy is back! I think he could surprise a few people and maybe contend for the win.
  • 88 - Dale Earnhardt, Jr. - He won Michigan last year and this track is very similar. If he doesn't wreck everyone look for him to be in the top-half of the field for most the day.
Pole Qualifier: 18 - Kyle Busch (T)
Lap Leader: 99- Carl Edwards (F)